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Top 15 U.s. Cities With Likely Home Price Reductions

There has been a shift in the risk of homeexpectations of their properties
price reductions in the U.S. towards Floridaappreciation.
and California and some areas of the
southwest, according to the PMI MortgageThe following are the top 15 metro areas that
Insurance Co.'s Summer 2007 U.S. Market Riskare likely to experience home price declines
Index. The index ranks the 50 largestin the next two years, with their group ranks
metropolitan statistical areas in the U.S.at  the  front,  and  scores  at  the  end.
according to the risk of home price reduction
in  the  next  two  years.1  Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA - 652
On an average, the 50 MSAs scored 346, which1  Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale,  AZ  -  646
is 34.6 % possibility that home prices will
reduce in the next two years. The PMI risk1  Las  Vegas-Paradise,  NV  -  614
index model has been updated this year with
the inclusion of the recent price volatility1 West Palm Beach-Boca Raton-Boynton Beach,
in the market. Also this year's indexFL  -  607
includes risk ranking where in MSAs with
consistent characteristics are grouped under2  Los  Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA - 586
the same rank. Thus we have Riverside, CA,
Phoenix, AZ, Las Vegas, NV, and West Palm2  Santa  Ana-Anaheim-Irvine,  CA  -  577
Beach, FL group ranked on the top of the
index having about 60 % chance of home price2  Oakland-Fremont-Hayward,  CA  -  572
reductions in the next two years. Five MSAs
in California - Los Angeles, Santa Ana,2  Orlando-Kissimmee,  FL  -  563
Oakland, Sacramento and San Diego in
California, and four in Florida - Orlando,2 Sacramento-Arden-Arcade-Roseville, CA - 560
Fort Lauderdale, Miami and Tampa, feature
among the top 11 that face a home price2  San  Diego-Carlsbad-San  Marcos,  CA - 555
decline  of  more  than  50  %.
2 Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach-Deerfield
Home price appreciation rates have slowed inBeach,  FL  -  542
almost all the 50 largest MSAs. The number of
MSAs that saw a home appreciation in the2  Miami-Miami  Beach-Kendall,  FL  -  524
double digits in the first quarter of 2007
has declined to five, way below last year's2  Tampa-St.  Petersburg-Clearwater, FL - 506
26.
2  Boston-Quincy,  MA  -  501
Markets which have had a history of price
volatility are more likely to experience home2 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MC -
price decline in the future, according to500
Mark F. Milner, PMI's Chief Risk Officer.
Still with all these going ons, it is not aBe sure to contact a local Realtor if you are
bad time to buy a home as a long termthinking about buying or selling a home,
investment as long as buyers pick theircondo, or any other real estate.
mortgage package with care and have realistic



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